#4 BOISE STATE (1-0, 0-0) at TOLEDO (1-1, 0-0) (ESPN, 8:00pm EST)
This game wasn't even on my radar until Toledo gave Ohio State one hell of a scare last week, leading for a good chunk of the game and having the ball in Ohio State's red zone with a chance to win at the end of the game. If they could do that in Columbus, could they pull the unlikely upset against everyone's favorite Smurf Turfers when they're back on their home turf at the Glass Bowl? The reason it's possible is that they have a dynamic offensive weapon (WR Eric Page, who burned Ohio State a few times last week) and a defense that managed to slow down an Ohio State team that's not lacking for athletes (although it is lacking in experience). But the reason it's unlikely is that Boise is, quite frankly, better than Ohio State this year. Quite possibly a lot better. They have a deep, formidable defensive line (just ask Georgia) and Kellen Moore, one of the most accurate passers in the nation, not to mention a more-than-respectable ground game. Oh, and they've had two weeks to get ready for this game, while Toledo is working off a short week's preparation and a grueling game against the Buckeyes last week. It might take a few quarters, but ultimately this turns into yet another Boise rout.
THE PICK: BOISE STATE 38, TOLEDO 14
#21 AUBURN (2-0, 1-0) at CLEMSON (2-0, 0-0) (ABC, 12:00pm EST)
It seems like someone is going to catch Auburn sooner or later this season and trip them up -- they lost almost their entire starting line-up on both sides of the ball, needed a furious comeback (including a perfectly executed onside kick) in the final two minutes to get by Utah State, and narrowly edged Mississippi State in a wild shootout last weekend -- but betting against Chizik's satanic luck seems downright foolish at this point. They keep winning by the skin of their teeth, but the most important thing is the first part of that statement: they keep winning. Clemson struggled mightily with FCS power Wofford last week (they gave up almost 300 yards rushing and won only 35-27), but that probably isn't too telling of their overall ability: Wofford runs a triple-option offense that can be difficult to prepare for on a week's notice. They certainly have the ability to win this game (especially at home). On the other hand, they're Clemson and they've rarely met a potential statement game they didn't want to choke away. Given that factor (and Auburn's uncanny run of luck right now), make mine Aubie.
THE PICK: AUBURN 31, CLEMSON 24